Which current NFL starters could break their team’s franchise passing record?

The quantity of quarterback expertise within the NFL proper now’s obscene. Not solely are we in a golden age of younger QBs, however pass-friendly guidelines and a 17-game common season has pushed air yards via the roof.

This depth of younger expertise may very simply have a profound impact on franchise information. At the moment we have a look at all 32 groups, their present all-time chief in yardage, and whether or not we will count on that report to topple with the workforce’s present starter.

Arizona Cardinals

File holder: Jim Hart (34,639 yds)
Present QB: Kyler Murray (13,848 yds)

Kyler Murray is nicely on his manner statistically, however the greatest hurdle right here is Arizona’s lack of organizational consistency. Murray was drafted to be a really particular QB, in a really particular offense — and it stays to be seen what his long-term future with the Cardinals will likely be, whatever the contract extension he signed final season.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 40 p.c

Atlanta Falcons

File holder: Matt Ryan (59,735 yds)
Present QB: Desmond Ridder (708 yds)

Matt Ryan is a borderline Corridor of Fame participant who excelled for over a decade because the starter in Atlanta. We don’t want to tug this one out, as a result of Desmond Ridder isn’t that man.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

Baltimore Ravens

File holder: Joe Flacco (38,245 yds)
Present QB: Lamar Jackson (12,209 yds)

This can be a actually curious one. Each fiber of my being believes that Jackson is the vastly superior QB, however his recreation doesn’t lend itself to racking up 5,000 yard passing seasons. Proper now he would wish 13 complete seasons at his present tempo to interrupt Flacco’s complete. That’s a very long time in a single place for a dual-threat QB. We’ve to be conservative with this one.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 55 p.c

Buffalo Payments

SetNumber: X43460

File holder: Jim Kelly (35,467 yds)
Present QB: Josh Allen (18,397 yds)

That is one which’s indicative of period, not greatness. Each quarterbacks are good in their very own proper, however Kelly was by no means a high-volume passer and didn’t play in a passing period. Outdoors of a catastrophic harm there is no such thing as a doubt Allen will break the franchise passing report — and will obtain it within the subsequent 4-5 years.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 95 p.c

Carolina Panthers

File holder: Cam Newton (29,725 yds)
Present QB: Bryce Younger (0 yds)

The nice unknown. Newton’s comparatively transient profession lends his report to be damaged by a passer, however it’s completely unattainable to challenge Bryce Younger’s future within the NFL earlier than taking a snap. Any likelihood relies on religion, so let’s put a quantity on it.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 45 p.c

Chicago Bears

File holder: Jay Cutler (23,443 yds)
Present QB: Justin Fields (4,112 yds)

The Bears’ historical past with passers is so unhappy that Fields is already twentieth in franchise historical past in passing and the workforce has been round for 103 years. That’s to say: He ought to be capable of break this report if his profession continues its trajectory. I’m bullish on Fields’ future, and my odds mirror that.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 65 p.c

Cincinnati Bengals

File holder: Ken Anderson (32,838 yds)
Present QB: Joe Burrow (11,774 yds)

Much like Buffalo, we will lock this one down shortly. It will take one thing horrific to cease Burrow from destroying this franchise report — particularly contemplating the weapons at his disposal. He’s already over a 3rd of the best way there in three seasons.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 97 p.c

Cleveland Browns

File holder: Brian Sipe (23,713 yds)
Present QB: Deshaun Watson (1,102 yds)

That is a simple report to achieve and Watson’s large assured contract means he ought to be capable of break this by the point his run is over in Cleveland.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 75 p.c

Dallas Cowboys

File holder: Tony Romo (34,183 yds)
Present QB: Dak Prescott (24,943 yds)

Prescott is on tempo to interrupt this report in three seasons, and will obtain it in two. That ought to make this a lock, however as mercurial because the Cowboys are typically (and their seemingly-endless back-and-forth on Prescott) means this appears like barely much less of a lock than Allen or Burrow.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 90 p.c

Denver Broncos

Picture by Lutz Bongarts/Bongarts/Getty Photos

File holder: John Elway (51,475 yds)
Present QB: Russell Wilson (3,524 yds)

That is about age. It’s merely not going to occur.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

Detroit Lions

File holder: Matthew Stafford (45,109 yds)
Present QB: Jared Goff (7,683 yds)

I like Goff’s slot in Detroit quite a bit, however I can’t fathom him actually staying lengthy sufficient to problem Stafford’s lock on the report. There’s a really small outdoors likelihood, however it feels extremely slim.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 5 p.c

Inexperienced Bay Packers

File holder: Brett Favre (61,655 yds)
Present QB: Jordan Love (606 yds)

No. Simply no.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

Houston Texans

File holder: Matt Schaub (23,221 yds)
Present QB: CJ Stroud (0 yds)

This can be a very comparable state of affairs to the Panthers, besides Stroud is much less of a lock than Younger on the place. Nevertheless, the bar is so low they find yourself on the similar place.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 45 p.c

Indianapolis Colts

SetNumber: X79044 TK2 R5 F195

File holder: Peyton Manning (54,828 yds)
Present QB: Anthony Richardson (0 yds)

I completely love Anthony Richardson, however that is Peyton Manning’s report we’re speaking about. It will require Richardson to be a MAMMOTH hit, have sustained success as a dual-threat QB, and turn into one of many biggest gamers in franchise historical past. That’s quite a bit for an unknown participant.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 10 p.c

Jacksonville Jaguars

File holder: Mark Brunell (25,698 yds)
Present QB: Trevor Lawrence (7,754 yds)

This appears like a report destined to be damaged. Lawrence is coming into his personal because the Jags’ quarterback and the bar is fairly low to turn into the franchise’s all-time main passer. When the mud settles I believe he’ll eclipse this pretty simply.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 90 p.c

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

File holder: Len Dawson (28,507 yds)
Present QB: Patrick Mahomes (24,241 yds)

It’s Patrick Mahomes. He’ll most likely do it this 12 months.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 100%

Las Vegas Raiders

File holder: Derek Carr (35,222 yds)
Present QB: Jimmy Garoppolo (0 yds)

Jimmy G isn’t a quantity passer and he’s 31-years-old. May it occur? Positive. Will it? In all probability not.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 5 p.c

Los Angeles Chargers

Picture by Cooper Neill/Getty Photos

File holder: Philip Rivers (59,274 yds)
Present QB: Justin Herbert (14,089 yds)

Simply one of the vital tough ones to challenge within the NFL. Herbert has monumental potential, however Rivers was a grasp in endurance. I’m assured that Herbert will keep and break the report, however it’s not a lock by any means.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 60 p.c

Los Angeles Rams

File holder: Jim Everett (23,758 yds)
Present QB: Matthew Stafford (6,973 yds)

There’s an opportunity right here, however it might require Stafford enjoying into his 40s. I don’t see that taking place the best way issues are going. In the end I believe the Rams search for a QB within the subsequent 2-3 years and transfer on.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 35 p.c

Miami Dolphins

File holder: Dan Marino (61,361 yds)
Present QB: Tua Tagovailoa (8,015 yds)

There’s a potential path right here, however harm historical past makes this tough to think about except you’re a member of TuAnon.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 20 p.c

Minnesota Vikings

File holder: Fran Tarkenton (33,098 yds)
Present QB: Kirk Cousins (20,934 yds)

Cousins wants 4-5 seasons to interrupt the report. Proper now he’s principally a year-to-year quarterback within the tail-end of his profession. Nevertheless, the Vikings don’t have any strong solutions at QB for the long run — and doubtlessly being locked in QB purgatory offers this an opportunity of occurring.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 40 p.c

New England Patriots

File holder: Tom Brady (74,571 yds)
Present QB: Mac Jones (6,798 yds)

lol no

Likelihood to interrupt report: -100%

New Orleans Saints

File holder: Drew Brees (68,010 yds)
Present QB: Derek Carr (0 yds)

[see Patriots]

Likelihood to interrupt report: -100%

New York Giants

File holder: Eli Manning (57,023 yds)
Present QB: Daniel Jones (11,603 yds)

That is an odd one. I don’t assume Daniel Jones will ever be the man to take the Giants to a Tremendous Bowl, however this can be a workforce with a propensity to be comfy with mediocre QB play. I can’t give this an honest likelihood of occurring although.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 20 p.c

New York Jets

Picture by Sporting Information through Getty Photos/Sporting Information through Getty Photos through Getty Photos

File holder: Joe Namath (27,057 yds)
Present QB: Aaron Rodgers (0 yds)

Do you actually count on Rodgers to play till he’s 50?

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

Philadelphia Eagles

File holder: Donovan McNabb (32,873 yds)
Present QB: Jalen Hurts (7,906 yds)

It’s a contact too early to say that is an absolute lock, however it’s very attainable. Hurts’ future is brilliant sufficient to simply turn into the perfect QB within the historical past of the Eagles.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 80 p.c

Pittsburgh Steelers

File holder: Ben Roethlisberger (64,088 yds)
Present QB: Kenny Pickett (2,404 yds)

Sorry, Pickett ain’t it.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

San Francisco 49ers

File holder: Joe Montana (35,124 yds)
Present QB: Brock Purdy (1,374 yds)

Purdy confirmed unbelievable promise final season, however that solely places him barely above the rookie QBs from this 12 months in my estimation. He’s getting back from an harm, and we don’t know long-term whether or not he can maintain his efficiency up. Don’t overlook: Mac Jones was good for one season too.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 45 p.c

Seattle Seahawks

File holder: Russell Wilson (37,059 yds)
Present QB: Geno Smith (5,017 yds)

Age is the difficulty right here. It’s very tough to see Smith beginning for an additional six seasons in Seattle and sustaining the identical degree of success.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 5 p.c

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

File holder: Jameis Winston (19,737 yds)
Present QB: Baker Mayfield (0 yds)

Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah hahahahahahahahaha [breathes] ahahahahahahaha

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

Tennessee Titans

Picture by Give attention to Sport/Getty Photos

File holder: Warren Moon (33,685 yds)
Present QB: Ryan Tannehill (12,831 yds)

Tannehill is on his manner out. Not going to occur.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 0 p.c

Washington Commanders

File holder: Joe Theismann (25,206 yds)
Present QB: Sam Howell (169 yds)

It’s a low bar, and actually low potential. Is there an opportunity Sam Howell could possibly be that man? Perhaps. Do I believe he’s that man? No.

Likelihood to interrupt report: 5 p.c