The legacy media and the Republican Occasion are attempting so as to add drama to the very early 2024 presidential contest, however in response to new polling, President Biden leads the highest three GOP presidential hopefuls.
Listed here are the top to heads from the newest UMASS Ballot:
Biden’s help with black voters stays roughly the identical whether or not he’s operating towards DeSantis or Trump. Biden’s general lead is usually the identical whether or not it’s DeSantis or Trump on the Republican facet.
The third-best polling Republican is method again at 4%, so let’s have a look at Biden versus Scott:
The distinction in margin between the highest three Republicans and Biden is that Scott makes black voters much less certain about supporting Biden, however that’s probably as a result of voters don’t know a lot about Sen. Scott. There may be additionally the next proportion of voters who say that they’d not vote if Scott have been the Republican nominee.
Voter turnout can be highest for a Biden and Trump rematch as a result of it not solely seems his supporters however motivates Democrats to flock to the polls to vote towards him.
That is method too early polling and ought to be taken with an enormous grain of salt, however the message that may be drawn from it’s that incumbent presidents are tough to defeat, and so long as the economic system retains heading in a constructive route, it won’t matter who the GOP presidential nominee is as a result of President Biden will likely be ready to win.
Jason is the managing editor. He’s additionally a White Home Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Diploma in Political Science. His graduate work centered on public coverage, with a specialization in social reform actions.
Awards and Skilled Memberships
Member of the Society of Skilled Journalists and The American Political Science Affiliation