Bears, Texans are favorites among underdog bets


Bear with me.

Bear with me.
Picture: Getty Photographs

After a Week 1 that noticed bettors nail their underdog choose of the week — Chicago over San Francisco — gamblers are driving the new hand and rolling with Da Bears as soon as once more in Week 2 to take down their “proprietor” Aaron Rodgers and the Inexperienced Bay Packers. Nevertheless, this time the Bears aren’t alone, they’ve received firm: The Houston Texans.

Based on OddsChecker US, over the past week, the Bears and Texans have every acquired two-thirds (66.7 %) of moneyline votes for his or her video games in opposition to the Packers and Broncos, respectively. I can perceive the place bettors are coming from. The Broncos offense didn’t look practically as explosive as we thought it could in Week 1. Russell Wilson seemed downright insufficient at occasions in opposition to his former crew as he was principally out-dueled by Geno Smith. That stated, the Broncos had been a pair of goal-line fumbles away from strolling away with the victory. In the meantime, Davis Mills seemed competent in Houston’s Week 1 tie in opposition to a Colts squad that was presupposed to crush Houston beneath the heel of their boots. As for the Bears, regardless of abhorrent climate, Justin Fields seemed like a robust chief, marching down the sphere for 2 second-half landing drives, whereas the Packers seemed as sloppy as a moist slice of bread that had been dropped on the ground and left there for 2 minutes.

Whereas I might usually say that these bets are ridiculous, I can’t assist however cheer the underdog bettors primarily based on what occurred final weekend. Certain, Rodgers all the time sucks in Week 1, however who’s to say he gained’t be unhealthy two weeks in a row with out Davante Adams? The Bears have completed it earlier than in any case. The final time they managed to win a sport as double-digit underdogs was 2013, a Week 9 in opposition to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. However Rodgers received damage late within the first half of that sport and needed to be changed by Seneca Wallace. They are saying historical past repeats itself, and by golly, there’s lots of historical past lining up for this matchup with Inexperienced Bay.

What bugs me most about these bets isn’t even something matchup-related or stats-related. It’s tendencies. There’s a saying in sports activities that just about states, “the perfect time for an enormous loss is true after an emotional win.” Each the Bears and Texans are coming off vastly emotional victories (a tie isn’t a win, however the truth that Houston pressured a tie in opposition to a divisional opponent is an enormous second in and of itself), and thus are due for large letdowns in Week 2. The other of that idiom can also be true. One of the best time for an enormous win is true after a humiliating defeat. I don’t suppose any two groups had been extra embarrassed with their Week 1 performances than the Packers and Broncos. Wilson misplaced to his former crew in entrance of his former followers with a far superior supporting forged. A-A-Ron performed a divisional foe and received laughed out of Minnesota along with his tail tucked between his legs. Each quarterbacks are going to be out for blood in Week 2.

Moreover, each Wilson and Rodgers had been on the highway in Week 1, however shall be at residence in Week 2. Over their careers, each quarterbacks have been significantly better at residence than on the highway. You could possibly argue that Wilson was type of “at residence” in Week 1, however even I’d contemplate {that a} stretch. I might by no means advise anybody to outright guess in favor of a double-digit underdog on the highway, however given the doubtless large payout each groups would supply, I gained’t blame anybody for making an attempt to chase that payday. That stated, each the Packers and Broncos ought to stroll away with relatively simple victories. In the event that they don’t, it’s time to begin getting fearful about each squads.